Issued: 0530hrs Monday 20th July 2026
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Heavy rain across Poland, Belarus, and the Baltic States.

Monday
Monday stays hot and sunny across Iberia, a few isolated showers in the east and northwest of Spain. The west Mediterranean islands stay dry. Italy is also sunny and mostly dry, a few scattered showers here and there around central mountains. Showers in Bosnia and Herzegovina, a few elsewhere around the Balkan States but well scattered with many areas staying dry. A few showers in north Greece but otherwise dry and sunny, as is Türkiye.
Fine and dry in France, some cloud in the north, this extending into the Low Countries and west Germany. Heavy showers affect east Germany as well, these extending into Poland and western parts of Czechia. A few showers over Switzerland, more over Austria. Slovakia and Hungary stay dry with sunny spells. Belarus, Ukraine, Romania, and Bulgaria all see spells of heavy rain, locally thundery, trending eastward with time.
Heavy rain spreads across the Baltic States, Lithuania trending drier with sun later. Heavy rain in southeast Sweden early, this tending to slowly fade. Denmark is fine and increasingly bright. A few light showers here and there in the north of Scandinavia but otherwise dry for most with mixed cloud and sun.

Tuesday
Staying fine and dry in Iberia with well-scattered showers near and just inland of Spanish coasts. Fine and hot in the Balearics, Sardinia, and Corsica. Scattered showers in Italy, locally heavy in the northeast afternoon. Heavy showers in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, showers well-scattered towards the southern Balkan States. Some showers in northeast Greece and adjacent areas of Türkiye, elsewhere dry and hot.
Hot in southern France with sun widespread across the country. Some showers over the mountains in Switzerland and Austria, sunny spells elsewhere. A few afternoon showers in Germany, Czechia, and Slovakia, but mostly dry with sunny spells. Hungary is fine and bright. Showers in east Poland will tend to clear later in the day, these affecting Belarus much of the day. Scattered showers for Romania and Bulgaria, plenty of bright weather between and away from showery areas.
Milder in the Baltic States, though heavy rain and showers will be widespread. These showers push into southern Finland, dry with sunny spells to the north. Denmark is dry with mixed cloud and sun. Rain in northern Norway and northwest Sweden will trend southward somewhat, rather persistent afternoon. Southern parts of Norway and Sweden, as well as east Sweden, will stay dry with sunny spells and mild temperatures.